1. Write down a probability model for vote counts.

  2. Review

library(rvest)
# Reading in the table from Wikipedia
tab <- read_html("https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_tallest_buildings") %>% 
  html_node(".wikitable") %>%
  html_table(fill = TRUE)

References:

Original iran analysis:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/45856921_A_first-digit_anomaly_in_the_2009_Iranian_presidential_election

https://arxiv.org/pdf/0906.2789.pdf

Follow up by walter mebane:

http://websites.umich.edu/~wmebane/note18jun2009.pdf

Gelman’s take: